Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.213506 0.228196 0.243656 0.261187 0.280568 0.301405 0.325583
2025-05-04 0.187641 0.210187 0.235584 0.266564 0.303682 0.347175 0.402673
2025-05-11 0.167399 0.193921 0.225314 0.265787 0.317449 0.382439 0.472493
2025-05-18 0.151980 0.180582 0.215746 0.263099 0.326740 0.411736 0.538393
2025-05-25 0.138600 0.167914 0.205026 0.256756 0.329249 0.431045 0.592634
2025-06-01 0.128799 0.158657 0.197428 0.253138 0.334203 0.453431 0.654483
2025-06-08 0.120940 0.151144 0.191246 0.250446 0.339584 0.476454 0.721063
2025-06-15 0.116348 0.147534 0.189883 0.254163 0.354480 0.515810 0.823366
2025-06-22 0.109356 0.140096 0.182512 0.248195 0.353424 0.528611 0.879643
2025-06-29 0.102159 0.131915 0.173482 0.238869 0.345822 0.528913 0.911203
2025-07-06 0.096144 0.125061 0.165925 0.231158 0.339984 0.531355 0.947472
2025-07-13 0.093813 0.123319 0.165716 0.234862 0.353625 0.571079 1.074520
2025-07-20 0.091809 0.122029 0.166221 0.239970 0.370723 0.621148 1.244510
2025-07-27 0.088822 0.119152 0.164165 0.240761 0.380322 0.658427 1.398149
2025-08-03 0.085457 0.115532 0.160726 0.238921 0.384808 0.685881 1.536752
2025-08-10 0.082182 0.111878 0.157005 0.236267 0.387389 0.709622 1.675059
2025-08-17 0.078538 0.107488 0.151863 0.230721 0.383649 0.718330 1.770224
2025-08-24 0.075659 0.104150 0.148233 0.227583 0.384394 0.737761 1.911581
2025-08-31 0.073150 0.101272 0.145190 0.225260 0.386520 0.760938 2.079318
2025-09-07 0.071890 0.100284 0.145181 0.228452 0.400537 0.816988 2.411730
2025-09-14 0.069146 0.096831 0.140884 0.223320 0.395986 0.823131 2.536049
2025-09-21 0.066024 0.092669 0.135228 0.215286 0.384319 0.808038 2.555929
2025-09-28 0.063313 0.089086 0.130421 0.208629 0.375220 0.799003 2.603956